Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T17:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 17:35 UTC
Open price
$1,671.71
Close price
$1,670.47

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1671.710000 and closed at 1670.470000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 12 · 17:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 17:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:30 ↓ 16:45 ↑ 17:00 ↓ 17:15 ↓ — now 17:30 ↓ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↓ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T17:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 17:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
17:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.479 +2.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAe4VeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.93%
Down 51.07%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1669.8850 sigma=8.1081 z=0.3719 p_up=0.4893

Commitment hash
c6042bc4a401924cb753c1db879cb7e1aa9be9ac52da2922c0049fb191440e4c
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
17:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.501 -0.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyE6wW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.07%
Down 49.93%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.0657 edge=0.0020 sigma_short=0.005217 sigma_long=0.003234 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5007

Commitment hash
9aab1537293d74f6f4c72563e16c6931a0cf96158e497fad0b85886122b49ac6
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
17:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.504 -0.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh07GV1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.2%
Down 49.8%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000064 sigma=0.004258 score=0.0657 p_up=0.5020

Commitment hash
9dadd8809433e69fab0f28007f6bf14a2d072fd6dc99c1ddbea4fcda2bdad46d