Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T14:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 14:20 UTC
Open price
$1,666.53
Close price
$1,666.52

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1666.530000 and closed at 1666.520000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 14 · 13:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 14:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 14:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 13:15 ↓ 13:30 ↑ 13:45 ↓ 14:00 ↓ — now 14:15 ↓ 14:30 ↓ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 14:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T14:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 14:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
13:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.463 +3.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvh7X9ojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 13:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.14%
Down 51.86%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000236 sigma=0.001420 score=-0.7259 p_up=0.4814

Commitment hash
6498c71f212aadfba0a35f5f0aa9088dfb95b4e9ffc4982239b01de5207633e1
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
13:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.480 +2.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ag9d6j7EwBNgsb4MwJAQ5kqR
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 13:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.98%
Down 51.02%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.7259 edge=-0.0186 sigma_short=0.001068 sigma_long=0.001274 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4898

Commitment hash
99bbf038e818c7dc304d574b0e81090e143a92499b7c2d067bbfca62182b289c
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
13:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.554 -5.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc3YjVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 13:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.65%
Down 47.35%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1673.1235 sigma=3.6292 z=-1.3925 p_up=0.5265

Commitment hash
06aa9aaf252e967f8cecefe17ec7d00b2b621668a74c45a4a984fced487cf079