Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T14:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 14:35 UTC
Open price
$1,666.51
Close price
$1,665.13

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1666.510000 and closed at 1665.130000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 14 · 14:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 14:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 14:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 13:30 ↑ 13:45 ↓ 14:00 ↓ 14:15 ↓ — now 14:30 ↓ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑ 15:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 14:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T14:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 14:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
14:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.461 +3.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iXJbDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 14:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.02%
Down 51.98%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000260 sigma=0.001427 score=-0.7938 p_up=0.4802

Commitment hash
05299a6c04d21def9dd7db53fd635f194c882d50b39f9af5fa65173287287da9
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
14:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.478 +2.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOhxBXV1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 14:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.91%
Down 51.09%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.7938 edge=-0.0198 sigma_short=0.001061 sigma_long=0.001265 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4891

Commitment hash
cdeed61af8b9493b09cf97dfb3563ea5b89d014883f8b52b85870df2893e8ac6
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
14:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHArZDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 14:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 14:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.76%
Down 47.24%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1672.6715 sigma=3.8513 z=-1.5921 p_up=0.5276

Commitment hash
2c06057f06657b32093e4182a660658a8c5fbfd5f07ca9506c7462c26d118608