Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T13:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 13:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 13:50 UTC
Open price
$1,666.11
Close price
$1,668.07

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1666.110000 and closed at 1668.070000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 14 · 13:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 13:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 13:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 12:45 ↓ 13:00 ↑ 13:15 ↓ 13:30 ↑ — now 13:45 ↓ 14:00 ↓ 14:15 ↓ 14:30 ↓ 14:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 13:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T13:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 13:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
13:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HYGNwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 13:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 13:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.87%
Down 47.13%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1674.1765 sigma=3.2204 z=-1.9210 p_up=0.5287

Commitment hash
e953e6a57d3122694dfc6f75f58be087d951a006d40c7ac96ea60cda072396af
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
13:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.525 -2.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCpyYwkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 13:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 13:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.75%
Down 51.25%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.9934 edge=-0.0228 sigma_short=0.001099 sigma_long=0.001269 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4875

Commitment hash
0ea8166398d6fdc219c30db9c55109136dbafd3e1ac14cef4fb73ed6a5769003
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
13:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.547 -4.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtXQ1oXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 13:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 13:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.72%
Down 52.28%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000314 sigma=0.001378 score=-0.9934 p_up=0.4772

Commitment hash
bdacd1a8430a965cb84f26617f12a1747a6e1fdf3aad78da93f84177f3edfe4f