Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T15:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 15:50 UTC
Open price
$1,816.63
Close price
$1,830.10

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1816.630000 and closed at 1830.100000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 15 · 15:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 15:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 15:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑ 15:30 ↑ — now 15:45 ↑ 16:00 ↓ 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 15:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T15:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 15:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
15:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.442 +5.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH5G3VlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 15:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.97%
Down 47.03%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.002716 sigma=0.004546 score=2.6037 p_up=0.5297

Commitment hash
cfd55086419189a0ed13557dcf872cf7fd777ea7d594cc25ec07936e09a2b9ff
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
15:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.479 +2.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SYZXolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 15:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.04%
Down 48.96%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=2.6037 edge=0.0297 sigma_short=0.005190 sigma_long=0.003563 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5104

Commitment hash
6773ad8e70782e65663be201ec456b2410c143cd89603140fca6dd7c527b83df
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
15:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cyglDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 15:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.58%
Down 52.42%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1780.5655 sigma=31.6551 z=1.1181 p_up=0.4758

Commitment hash
5fc187cb5dd486513f50ee1f7e56becf8dddfb613a50f0279bdf2bad974b8180