Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T16:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 16:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 16:50 UTC
Open price
$1,842.26
Close price
$1,844.14

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1842.260000 and closed at 1844.140000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 15 · 16:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 16:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 16:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 15:45 ↑ 16:00 ↓ 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑ — now 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 17:15 ↓ 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 16:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T16:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 16:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
16:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.443 +5.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7iEJqoE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 16:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 16:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.95%
Down 47.05%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.002394 sigma=0.004407 score=2.3677 p_up=0.5295

Commitment hash
9032db36ed9601e25c69008f1d22db4672610d513686340c8ac869d61e488956
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
16:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH5J3VlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 16:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 16:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.62%
Down 48.38%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=2.3677 edge=0.0295 sigma_short=0.003273 sigma_long=0.003809 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5162

Commitment hash
81c61255bfc81297e55b0710509e1a365a96552ee7aedfbe977f0d7ddbc57352
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
16:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tEn2DWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 16:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 16:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.24%
Down 52.76%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1800.7940 sigma=26.9913 z=1.5967 p_up=0.4724

Commitment hash
6b914fbac11ca13c5488840bb3ebe288d3a9d31c30530f0396b4eb1176900ab0