Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T17:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 17:50 UTC
Open price
$1,830.23
Close price
$1,830.37

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1830.230000 and closed at 1830.370000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 15 · 17:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 17:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 17:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 17:15 ↓ 17:30 ↑ — now 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 17:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T17:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 17:50:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
17:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.445 +5.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNyseNNw7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.83%
Down 47.17%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001949 sigma=0.004807 score=1.7678 p_up=0.5283

Commitment hash
5dd3dd8dba23fe8553757678643a4bd1429e3c8f50082895bf351905576f9f1d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
17:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.469 +3.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4T2j5o7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.56%
Down 48.44%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.7678 edge=0.0283 sigma_short=0.003909 sigma_long=0.003976 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5156

Commitment hash
12b03bd0897d664712ef9c323902753ab4852d180beee0e9afc66fe34ce22e06
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
17:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.537 -3.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHXzyD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.2%
Down 51.8%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1816.1595 sigma=23.0488 z=0.6925 p_up=0.4820

Commitment hash
e2c1edddd9a0ccf6d33896666d82a32feb51f06a28330568b68d61f265428f71