Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T18:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 18:20 UTC
Open price
$1,829.19
Close price
$1,830.58

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1829.190000 and closed at 1830.580000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 15 · 17:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 18:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 18:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 17:15 ↓ 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ — now 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 18:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T18:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 18:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
17:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.448 +5.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iXKeDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.66%
Down 47.34%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001543 sigma=0.004802 score=1.4008 p_up=0.5266

Commitment hash
e3b35e797fe45a558b7206a340d0756fab748b308ebfb688b46ce5b6e52b7f4e
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
17:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.471 +2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOhxp6V1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.46%
Down 48.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.4008 edge=0.0266 sigma_short=0.003966 sigma_long=0.003960 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5146

Commitment hash
6c4b5db3e5c1c21f3160757e2944f72a9eb063b4f70820f9ad6f9714dd998922
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
17:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.527 -2.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHAzGDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.68%
Down 51.32%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1822.1865 sigma=17.3226 z=0.4724 p_up=0.4868

Commitment hash
49e69c03772e83c895082f48fe6b85fa8594b984d020f0b25f95107cafadf39c