Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T17:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 17:35 UTC
Open price
$1,832.12
Close price
$1,830.23

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1832.120000 and closed at 1830.230000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 15 · 17:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 17:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 17:15 ↓ — now 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T17:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 17:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
17:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.451 +4.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HYaZwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.51%
Down 52.49%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1812.8375 sigma=25.1969 z=1.1911 p_up=0.4751

Commitment hash
e8c3c703175b1a20fd4218c7e6afc46e674831345ca4dee033061795758bd16e
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
17:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCp93wkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.61%
Down 48.39%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=2.1920 edge=0.0293 sigma_short=0.003244 sigma_long=0.003799 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5161

Commitment hash
3b23a5b348202fe795ab4015e1d2cd884fd7c0de63c48fefe519d5e128d11aaf
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
17:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.560 -6.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtXNnoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.93%
Down 47.07%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.002251 sigma=0.004477 score=2.1920 p_up=0.5293

Commitment hash
7ab9205d474bc7e5d2ae23e3ad92a51fa5e9de116a2906a3e076dda6e58afb73