Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T17:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 17:20 UTC
Open price
$1,842.85
Close price
$1,832.12

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1842.850000 and closed at 1832.120000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 15 · 16:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 17:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 17:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↓ — now 17:15 ↓ 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 17:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T17:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 17:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
16:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuWKNVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 16:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.39%
Down 52.61%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1808.9285 sigma=26.2787 z=1.3399 p_up=0.4739

Commitment hash
4badb5be548187855b37335366a97c25088da72937a701bd6813f43d0227b9c0
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
16:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GC6vKwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 16:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.62%
Down 48.38%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=2.2751 edge=0.0294 sigma_short=0.003153 sigma_long=0.003786 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5162

Commitment hash
4806913cd1c303d78c5bc0065da63b3d6748bbfef4694119fb00d7c6fc2d4ad3
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
16:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.560 -6.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOhxK6V1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 16:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 17:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.94%
Down 47.06%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.002318 sigma=0.004442 score=2.2751 p_up=0.5294

Commitment hash
8240bd7b71d10c5684d16b5266600bebe18e17f4d63cb6984c4a9639ad7f0782