Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T19:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 19:50 UTC
Open price
$1,819.09
Close price
$1,829.51

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1819.090000 and closed at 1829.510000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 15 · 19:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 19:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 19:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↓ 19:30 ↑ — now 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↑ 20:15 ↓ 20:30 ↓ 20:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 19:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T19:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 19:50:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
19:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.461 +3.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cyPmDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 19:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.01%
Down 47.99%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000553 sigma=0.002981 score=0.8089 p_up=0.5201

Commitment hash
021095ced9b81184494d8eee903355d8a004f02516b2f2c6799e7b008f67eb33
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
19:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHqzawrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 19:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.61%
Down 48.39%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8089 edge=0.0201 sigma_short=0.002000 sigma_long=0.003962 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5161

Commitment hash
9663c1d940729b3f263938a37e9cc7c8774b354baf6f7701ae3d8e2773852cc2
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
19:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.516 -1.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SYKAolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 19:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.19%
Down 50.81%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1829.6845 sigma=10.4194 z=0.2769 p_up=0.4919

Commitment hash
80e78750fbc64fb4e76032a1db85fabf146ba86056ae97acdc09ed85584c23bf