Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T19:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 19:50 UTC
Open price
$1,797.47
Close price
$1,798.03

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1797.470000 and closed at 1798.030000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 16 · 19:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 19:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 19:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:45 ↑ 19:00 ↓ 19:15 ↑ 19:30 ↑ — now 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↓ 20:30 ↑ 20:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 19:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T19:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 19:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
19:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.454 +4.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHyqqwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 19:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.34%
Down 47.66%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000658 sigma=0.002739 score=1.0464 p_up=0.5234

Commitment hash
f41db9ed7981c803c4be692a2d689cdc77a37ac57580e7bf023e709cf29521f8
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
19:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.475 +2.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Gl39jP8konj6sRmJoOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 19:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.29%
Down 48.71%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.0464 edge=0.0234 sigma_short=0.003082 sigma_long=0.003700 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5129

Commitment hash
3ab548acb9bfc055ad97dfb361d57f03cd67f99e03da97564e3c2c29f1f9b451
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
19:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.548 -4.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j65YM2E8odprid4MoPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 19:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.64%
Down 52.36%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1785.2685 sigma=8.5888 z=1.0609 p_up=0.4764

Commitment hash
e10416c9a4807388c00cb21092ca5b2eda60372ba7c55e528e5810409b8bf743