Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:1h:2026-06-14T23:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 00:05 UTC
Open price
$1,722.62
Close price
$1,725.62

Binance ETHUSDT 1h candle opened at 1722.620000 and closed at 1725.620000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 14 · 22:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 23:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 00:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Series 20:00 ↑ 21:00 ↑ 22:00 ↑ 23:00 ↑ — now 00:00 ↓ 01:00 ↓ 02:00 ↑ 03:00 ↑ 04:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 00:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 00:05:03 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
22:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.463 +3.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7iEMyoE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 22:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.86%
Down 48.14%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001120 sigma=0.006713 score=0.7275 p_up=0.5186

Commitment hash
a36da3727a0e6b4411d8a1d66ac94bdae375a65a293933525e9544600bce947c
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
22:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.487 +1.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH5qQVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 22:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.65%
Down 49.35%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.7275 edge=0.0186 sigma_short=0.008888 sigma_long=0.004895 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5065

Commitment hash
130f5fbbc7f2618a6fcd95adcca851efcb43eca17e7533d69bcdb7335d7c1069
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
22:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.562 -6.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tEW0DWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 22:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.0%
Down 53.0%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1673.4895 sigma=12.5443 z=3.6017 p_up=0.4700

Commitment hash
24a8bdfc07449f74449466b1591977d0b30eb5ec906ab5473b43144b5bcf8e0f