Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T19:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 19:20 UTC
Open price
$66,766.13
Close price
$66,854.00

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 66766.130000 and closed at 66854.000000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.1
Opens
Jun 15 · 18:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 19:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 19:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:15 ↑ 18:30 ↓ 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↑ — now 19:15 ↓ 19:30 ↑ 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 19:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T19:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 19:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
18:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.467 +3.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tEBZDWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 18:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.7%
Down 48.3%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000282 sigma=0.001915 score=0.6408 p_up=0.5170

Commitment hash
71fb07de0c184343927d1c0d4442df1dc299defcb241feb971cd132f15e8e8c9
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
18:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.473 +2.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cyPGDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 18:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.36%
Down 48.64%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.6408 edge=0.0170 sigma_short=0.001233 sigma_long=0.001935 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5136

Commitment hash
fdee2c15fc7993da9660714172a8554cd335c527c2adcecb15b624eec6b190ce
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
18:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.493 +0.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH5ZYVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 18:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.37%
Down 49.63%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=66836.0585 sigma=259.6810 z=-0.1256 p_up=0.5037

Commitment hash
c03f7ecb14fbf2e07530a5d942c447725313e46445658932ea2f02e8523896cf