Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T11:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 11:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 11:50 UTC
Open price
$1,674.94
Close price
$1,675.89

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1674.940000 and closed at 1675.890000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 14 · 11:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 11:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 11:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 10:45 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↑ 11:30 ↑ — now 11:45 ↓ 12:00 ↓ 12:15 ↓ 12:30 ↓ 12:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 11:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T11:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 11:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
11:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.464 +3.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gC23GoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.85%
Down 48.15%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1675.9840 sigma=1.8447 z=-0.7177 p_up=0.5185

Commitment hash
53b5b2c46112b9d13799a73aa24d7ca2c8495187cbb12d1e76070352c83725e2
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
11:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.509 -0.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7iEmaoE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.55%
Down 50.45%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.4531 edge=-0.0127 sigma_short=0.001649 sigma_long=0.001234 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4955

Commitment hash
807193dc1cabefdf01a166049b5bc0c68cd8b9520570c32bb80307fca39bbf33
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
11:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.526 -2.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTQLgwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.73%
Down 51.27%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000146 sigma=0.001401 score=-0.4531 p_up=0.4873

Commitment hash
73d4bcb2da24e76672f675a55de49deee2529d14cc7c0f445216a026c4fe9acb